Here's what I have been able to conclude from the various sources I've read the last few days:
1. James Posey The Celtics would obviously like to keep James Posey. He opted out of $3.2 million for next year. The Celtics have some or all of the Mid Level Exception (MLE) to the salary cap that they can offer him. This is $5.8 million this year. An MLE deal can be for a maximum of 5 years, and I think it can include up to 12% in annual raises. Posey's agent wants the full MLE and the full five years. He claims other teams have offered this already. That is a lot for a guy who is already 31. Counting the annual 12% raises, my calculator tells me this would be $36.8 million over five years. In 2012-13, the Celtics would be paying Posey $9.1 million. The Celtics have reportedly offered $4 million a year for three years. I could see them going for four years at this price.
So the question is how much should the Celtics be willing to pay to keep Posey? According to Steve Kyler's article today here on Hoopsworld, the thinking is that Posey already has a couple of titles, so he feels comfortable about leaving the Celtics for more money -- especially if that money is being offered by other contenders like the Lakers or Pistons. John Hollinger said in his ESPN.com chat this week: "I think Posey will end up being this year's biggest free agent mistake (if Udrih isn't). Midlevel is way too much for a player of his caliber, and four or five years is ridiculous for a 31-year-old role player."
2. Corey Maggette Boston has tested the theory that free agents will take a discount to come to Boston, and has offered Maggette their full MLE. Where the full MLE would be overpaying Posey, this would be a bargain price to get Maggette. Maggette averaged 22 points a game this year, and gets to the free throw line even better than Pierce. He's a 29-year-old slasher. Because he drives so well, teams have to play off him, which allowed him to hit 38% of his three pointers this year. In his first few years, they spoke of Maggette of being a good defender who might become a stopper. But then he got Clipper-itis, and hasn't played a lick of defense the last few years. It'd be interesting to see if Thibodeau and KG could restore his defensive intensity.
Maggette would rather not settle for the MLE. According to Kyler, he's going to wait until the teams with cap space (Warriors, Sixers, Clippers if Brand leaves, and maybe the Grizz) have used their space. Then, if he has to settle for the MLE, he will go to the Spurs or Celtics. The Celtics might raise their offer to Posey if they can't land Maggette. The flip side is that by the time they find out what Maggette is going to do, Posey may have signed elsewhere.
3. Chris Andersen The Celtics have met with Birdman the last two days. Assuming they're not going to offer him a chunk of the MLE, what they'd have to offer him is the Low Level Exception (LLE), which is around $1.8 million. Though Ainge does have a history of pissing away MLE money on big white guys (Gugliotta, Scalabrine). If they can get him for the LLE, he would make a solid backup center for those matchups where you need a guy taller than Powe or Davis. Marc Spears reports that the Celtics also worked out ex-Pacers center David Harrison yesterday and are working out ex-Warrior Patrick O'Bryant today. Think of Andersen as P.J. Brown's replacement, and Harrison/O'Bryant as potential replacements for Scot Pollard.
4. Tyronn Lue The Arizona Republic reports that point guard Tyronn Lue is deciding between Boston, Phoenix, and Dallas. Lue was historically a slasher, but he has a solid three-pointer these days. He has also been a good defender. I'm assuming they're looking at him for Sam Cassell's roster spot, but I haven't heard anything yet about where Eddie House might sign, so who knows if he's coming back.
5. Others Marc Spears says that "An NBA source said the Celtics surprisingly worked out Blazers free agent small forward Darius Miles yesterday and he had an impressive workout." They also worked out SF/SG Kirk Snyder yesterday, a guy who has shown flashes of talent but hasn't stuck anywhere. I'm assuming that the Celtics are evaluating guys like this so they will have fallback positions if they lose out on both Posey and Maggette.
Its hard to be a Boston sports fan. Do you know how much we have to spend on championship T-shirts and hats? -- Caller to WEEI radio
